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How many copies did Halcyon Days sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 818–1k
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$15k before Steam's cut
from 33 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Halcyon Days and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Halcyon Days's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 53k–92k
best case 930k (Sonic Frontiers)
Games like Halcyon Days

A typical game among these

≈ 53k–92k copies

≈ $289k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sonic Frontiers at ≈ 709k–1.2M copies, ≈ $7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 705 reviews in their first month; the range was 54 to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action-Adventure (6 of 8) and 3D Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 3D Platformer + Action-Adventure, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry 3D Platformer + Souls-like + Cartoony; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 100k–200k
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$150k–$403k after Steam's cut $272k–$619k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Action RPGAction
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2021
Est. copies
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10x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$3.0M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.6M before Steam's cut
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CuteSouls-like
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SteamSpy 100k–200k
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Hack and SlashSpectacle fighter
Sonic Frontiers
2022
Est. copies
≈ 709k–1.2M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
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$39.99
29k reviews
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Great SoundtrackOpen World
Raji: An Ancient Epic
2020
Est. copies
≈ 71k–115k
SteamSpy under 20k
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RelaxingMythology
Made in Abyss: Binary Star Falling into Darkness
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Est. copies
≈ 70k–113k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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ActionAdventure
Spirit Realm
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Est. copies
≈ 35k–58k
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$177k–$477k after Steam's cut $322k–$733k before Steam's cut
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Early AccessRPG
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Est. copies
≈ 27k–44k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$74k–$200k after Steam's cut $135k–$308k before Steam's cut
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Overwhelmingly Positive
IndieRPG

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