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How many copies did First Up sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74–121
$102–$275 after Steam's cut $185–$423 before Steam's cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid First Up and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including First Up's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–73k
best case 233k (Hot Lava)
Games like First Up

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–73k copies

≈ $11k–$328k after Steam's cut

from ~179 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hot Lava at ≈ 178k–289k copies, ≈ $977k–$2.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 77 reviews in their first month; the range was 56 to 288.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Precision Platformer (8 of 8) and 3D Platformer (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + 3D Platformer, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SEUM: Speedrunners from Hell
2016
Est. copies
≈ 127k–207k
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$525k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $955k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerParkour
BETON BRUTAL
2023
Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
7.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$62k–$166k after Steam's cut $112k–$256k before Steam's cut
$6.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerPrecision Platformer
Pogo3D
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut
$7.99
130 reviews
Very Positive
Precision Platformer3D Platformer
Tails Noir: Rebel Rush
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$4.94
97 reviews
Very Positive
Parkour Tag
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut
$7.99
214 reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParkour
Hot Lava
2019
Est. copies
≈ 178k–289k
35x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$977k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Precision Platformer3D Platformer
Celaria
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut
$5.99
143 reviews
Very Positive
Dream Swing
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$2.99
142 reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.