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How many copies did Sclera sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 174–282
$382–$1k after Steam's cut $695–$2k before Steam's cut
from 7 reviews (7 user reviews)
Only 7 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sclera and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sclera's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13k–355k
best case 8.9M (Darkest Dungeon®)
Games like Sclera

A typical game among these

≈ 13k–355k copies

≈ $84k–$10.6M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Darkest Dungeon® at ≈ 6.8M–11.0M copies, ≈ $46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 159 reviews in their first month; the range was 45 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Lovecraftian (6 of 8) and Dungeon Crawler (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Combat + Dark Fantasy, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Darkest Dungeon®
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.8M–11.0M
110x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut $84.6M–$192.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
163k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
Darkest Dungeon® II
2023
Est. copies
≈ 671k–1.1M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Mostly Positive
Fhtagn Simulator
2022
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$31k–$84k after Steam's cut $57k–$129k before Steam's cut
$7.99
572 reviews
Very Positive
Legend of Keepers: Career of a Dungeon Manager
2021
Est. copies
≈ 136k–222k
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$750k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
Pixel GraphicsTurn-Based Combat
Legend of Keepers: Prologue
2019
Est. copies
≈ 69k–111k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatDungeon Crawler
Alder's Blood: Prologue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
146 reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGStrategy
Stirring Abyss
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$76k–$204k after Steam's cut $138k–$314k before Steam's cut
$24.99
445 reviews
Very Positive
LovecraftianUnderwater
Alder's Blood: Definitive Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$35k–$95k after Steam's cut $64k–$147k before Steam's cut
$19.99
260 reviews
Mixed

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