How much revenue did Alder's Blood: Prologue make?

Alder's Blood: Prologue is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Alder's Blood: Prologue sell?

Q: How many copies did Alder's Blood: Prologue sell?

4k to 6k copies, based on its 146 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4k–6k; from 146 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Alder's Blood: Prologue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Alder's Blood: Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11k–14k

best case 8.9M (Darkest Dungeon®)

Games like Alder's Blood: Prologue

A typical game among these

≈ 11k–14k copies

≈ $94k–$121k after Steam's cut

from ~371 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Darkest Dungeon® at ≈ 6.8M–11.0M copies, ≈ $46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 224 reviews in their first month; the range was 109 to 734.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Lovecraftian (6 of 8) and Turn-Based Combat (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Turn-Based, priced around $32. The breakout hits carry Turn-Based + Dungeon Crawler + Rogue-like; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2025, and 2 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 4 unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	371 reviews Very Positive	JRPGRPG
Darkest Dungeon® 2016	Est. copies ≈ 6.8M–11.0M 439x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut $84.6M–$192.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	163k reviews Very Positive	Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 3 2012	Est. copies ≈ 38k–61k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	598 reviews Very Positive	JRPGLovecraftian
Stirring Abyss 2020	Est. copies ≈ 11k–18k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $76k–$204k after Steam's cut $138k–$314k before Steam's cut	$24.99	445 reviews Very Positive	LovecraftianUnderwater
Starless Abyss 2025	Est. copies ≈ 9k–14k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $47k–$126k after Steam's cut $85k–$193k before Steam's cut	$19.99	343 reviews Very Positive	StrategyIndie
Legend of Keepers: Prologue 2019	Est. copies ≈ 69k–111k 6.4x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Very Positive	Turn-Based CombatDungeon Crawler
Achtung! Cthulhu Tactics 2018	Est. copies ≈ 8k–13k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $55k–$148k after Steam's cut $100k–$228k before Steam's cut	$24.99	264 reviews Mixed	StrategyTurn-Based Tactics
ZEPHON 2024	Est. copies ≈ 48k–78k 5.2x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $530k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $963k–$2.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	2k reviews Very Positive	StrategyTurn-Based