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How many copies did Agricultural Simulator: Historical Farming sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 19k–31k
$27k–$71k after Steam's cut $48k–$110k before Steam's cut
from 306 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Agricultural Simulator: Historical Farming and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Agricultural Simulator: Historical Farming's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–2.8M
best case 57.1M (Stardew Valley)
Games like Agricultural Simulator: Historical Farming

A typical game among these

≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies

≈ $16.1M–$19.9M after Steam's cut

from ~59k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Stardew Valley at ≈ 43.5M–70.7M copies, ≈ $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 39k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 43k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Farming Sim (5 of 8) and Simulation (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Management + Exploration, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Relaxing + RPG + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DAVE THE DIVER
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
163k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsCasual
My Time at Portia
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.5M–$28.3M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
Life SimRPG
Stardew Valley
2016
Est. copies
≈ 43.5M–70.7M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Farming SimPixel Graphics
Farming Simulator 19
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.5M–$30.9M after Steam's cut $20.9M–$47.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
76k reviews
Very Positive
Fishing Planet
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78k reviews
Very Positive
FishingFree to Play
My Singing Monsters
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
50k reviews
Very Positive
Creature CollectorSimulation
Forager
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.0M–$18.8M after Steam's cut $12.7M–$28.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Core Keeper
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.3M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsOpen World Survival Craft

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