How much revenue did Fallen Seeds make?

$5k–$12k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Fallen Seeds sell?

Q: How many copies did Fallen Seeds sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 97 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut; from 97 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fallen Seeds and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fallen Seeds's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 152k–340k

best case 1.2M (Senren＊Banka)

Games like Fallen Seeds

A typical game among these

≈ 152k–340k copies

≈ $1.7M–$2.6M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Senren＊Banka at ≈ 923k–1.5M copies, ≈ $8.9M–$23.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 934 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Anime (8 of 8) and Visual Novel (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Anime, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
ATRI -My Dear Moments- 2020	Est. copies ≈ 584k–949k 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut	$20.99	24k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAnime
Lucy -The Eternity She Wished For- 2016	Est. copies ≈ 343k–558k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $944k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	8k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAnime
STEINS;GATE 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 5.2x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $9.3M–$25.1M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	27k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual Novel Story Rich
Senren＊Banka 2020	Est. copies ≈ 923k–1.5M 7.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$23.9M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.7M before Steam's cut	$34.99	37k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelNSFW
STEINS;GATE 0 2018	Est. copies ≈ 259k–421k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before Steam's cut	$34.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual Novel Story Rich
PARQUET 2021	Est. copies ≈ 60k–97k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $280k–$752k after Steam's cut $509k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$16.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelAnime
eden* 2015	Est. copies ≈ 257k–418k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAnime
Muv-Luv Alternative 2018	Est. copies ≈ 116k–188k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelMechs