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How big is 9.03m?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 72k–117k
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 9.03m and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 9.03m's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 402k–2.2M
best case 5.5M (Firewatch)
Games like 9.03m

A typical game among these

≈ 402k–2.2M copies

≈ $7.8M–$18.6M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Firewatch at ≈ 4.2M–6.8M copies, ≈ $22.9M–$61.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (8 of 8) and Walking Simulator (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Walking Simulator, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 2 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dear Esther
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 152k–247k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
Thirty Flights of Loving
2012
Est. copies
≈ 121k–196k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$166k–$445k after Steam's cut $301k–$685k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Mixed
First-PersonExperimental
Firewatch
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
6.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.9M–$61.5M after Steam's cut $41.6M–$94.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
100k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric
Aleph
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$2.99
75 reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationShort
Amnesia: A Machine for Pigs
2013
Est. copies
≈ 770k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Mixed
Gone Home
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
18k reviews
Mostly Positive
Purpose 1951
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$2.99
53 reviews
Mostly Positive
ShortLinear

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