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How many copies did DRAGON QUEST III HD-2D Remake sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 124k–202k
$2.1M–$5.5M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.5M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DRAGON QUEST III HD-2D Remake and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DRAGON QUEST III HD-2D Remake's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 580k–1.4M
best case 9.1M (Clair Obscur: Expedition 33)
Games like DRAGON QUEST III HD-2D Remake

A typical game among these

≈ 580k–1.4M copies

≈ $6.0M–$12.0M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 at ≈ 6.9M–11.3M copies, ≈ $95.2M–$256.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 795 to 92k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (8 of 8) and JRPG (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Combat + Story Rich, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Exploration + Lore-Rich + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Clair Obscur: Expedition 33
2025
Est. copies
≈ 6.9M–11.3M
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$95.2M–$256.1M after Steam's cut $173.2M–$394.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
279k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Turn-Based CombatStory Rich
Ruined King: A League of Legends Story™
2021
Est. copies
≈ 281k–457k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
RPGTurn-Based Combat
FINAL FANTASY IX
2016
Est. copies
≈ 598k–971k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.5M–$9.3M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.3M before Steam's cut
$20.99
14k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FINAL FANTASY X/X-2 HD Remaster
2016
Est. copies
≈ 986k–1.6M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.1M–$21.9M after Steam's cut $14.8M–$33.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGTurn-Based Combat
DRAGON QUEST® XI S: Echoes of an Elusive Age™ - Definitive Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 302k–490k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.9M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGTurn-Based Combat
The Legend of Heroes: Trails in the Sky
2014
Est. copies
≈ 583k–947k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Metaphor: ReFantazio
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$20.7M–$55.7M after Steam's cut $37.7M–$85.7M before Steam's cut
$69.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
RPGJRPG
FINAL FANTASY® XIII
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.4M before Steam's cut
$15.99
20k reviews
Mostly Positive
JRPGRPG

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