How much revenue did WHAT THE PAK?! make?

$53k–$143k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did WHAT THE PAK?! sell?

Q: How many copies did WHAT THE PAK?! sell?

32k to 52k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 32k–52k; $53k–$143k after Steam's cut $96k–$220k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid WHAT THE PAK?! and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including WHAT THE PAK?!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9.8M–21.5M

best case 12.4M (Deep Rock Galactic)

Games like WHAT THE PAK?!

A typical game among these

≈ 9.8M–21.5M copies

≈ $149.2M–$267.7M after Steam's cut

from ~304k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Deep Rock Galactic at ≈ 9.4M–15.3M copies, ≈ $77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 49k reviews in their first month; the range was 16k to 143k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Co-op (5 of 8) and Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Dwarf + Co-op, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Arma 3 2013	Est. copies ≈ 18.7M–30.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $154.1M–$414.3M after Steam's cut $280.2M–$637.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	296k reviews Very Positive	MilitaryAction
Ready or Not 2023	Est. copies ≈ 8.6M–14.0M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $118.4M–$318.4M after Steam's cut $215.3M–$489.8M before Steam's cut	$49.99	347k reviews Mostly Positive	TacticalRealistic
Borderlands 2 2012	Est. copies ≈ 19.8M–32.1M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $217.3M–$584.2M after Steam's cut $395.1M–$898.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	313k reviews Very Positive	LootShooter
Deep Rock Galactic 2020	Est. copies ≈ 9.4M–15.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut $141.5M–$321.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	380k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DwarfCo-op
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut $163.7M–$372.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	220k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldCo-op
Titanfall® 2 2020	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $58.7M–$158.0M after Steam's cut $106.8M–$243.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	287k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSMechs
Warhammer 40,000: Darktide 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.6M too small to compare SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $38.0M–$102.2M after Steam's cut $69.1M–$157.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	139k reviews Mostly Positive	HorrorTeam-Based
Warhammer: Vermintide 2 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.3M too small to compare SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $37.0M–$99.6M after Steam's cut $67.3M–$153.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	148k reviews Very Positive	Co-opDark Fantasy