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How many copies did Red Silhouette sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 496–806
$954–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 20 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Red Silhouette and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Red Silhouette's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.2M–6.1M
best case 9.1M (Resident Evil 4)
Games like Red Silhouette

A typical game among these

≈ 3.2M–6.1M copies

≈ $40.4M–$92.3M after Steam's cut

from ~77k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Resident Evil 4 at ≈ 7.0M–11.3M copies, ≈ $76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 26k reviews in their first month; the range was 20k to 68k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (6 of 8) and Survival Horror (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Survival Horror, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Alan Wake
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.7M–$42.1M after Steam's cut $28.5M–$64.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
ActionHorror
REMNANT II®
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$23.5M–$63.3M after Steam's cut $42.8M–$97.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
69k reviews
Very Positive
Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.7M–$58.5M after Steam's cut $39.5M–$90.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
77k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericPsychological
Resident Evil 4
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.3M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut $139.0M–$316.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorAction
Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
Resident Evil 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.5M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$70.9M–$190.7M after Steam's cut $129.0M–$293.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
224k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
Friday the 13th: The Game
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
77k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Dead Space
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$29.2M–$78.4M after Steam's cut $53.0M–$120.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
71k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorThird-Person Shooter

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