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How many copies did RIVE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 44k–71k
$180k–$485k after Steam's cut $328k–$746k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid RIVE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including RIVE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–44k
best case 54k (Rogue Stormers)
Games like RIVE

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–44k copies

≈ $44k–$197k after Steam's cut

from ~473 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Rogue Stormers at ≈ 41k–67k copies, ≈ $227k–$611k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 71 reviews in their first month; the range was 59 to 243.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Side Scroller (7 of 8) and Shoot 'Em Up (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Side Scroller, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Shotgun Cop Man
2025
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$48k–$130k after Steam's cut $88k–$200k before Steam's cut
$9.99
708 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Titan Attacks!
2012
Est. copies
≈ 62k–100k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$170k–$457k after Steam's cut $309k–$702k before Steam's cut
$9.99
978 reviews
Very Positive
Arena ShooterSide Scroller
Void Source
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut
$4.99
119 reviews
Mostly Positive
On-Rails ShooterSide Scroller
NeverAwake
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$24k–$65k after Steam's cut $44k–$99k before Steam's cut
$19.99
176 reviews
Very Positive
ActionArcade
Stardust Galaxy Warriors: Stellar Climax
2015
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$32k–$85k after Steam's cut $58k–$131k before Steam's cut
$9.99
237 reviews
Very Positive
Shoot 'Em UpShooter
Rogue Stormers
2016
Est. copies
≈ 41k–67k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$227k–$611k after Steam's cut $413k–$939k before Steam's cut
$19.99
993 reviews
Mixed
Action RoguelikeSide Scroller
Rise & Shine
2017
Est. copies
≈ 31k–51k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$86k–$231k after Steam's cut $156k–$356k before Steam's cut
$9.99
910 reviews
Mixed
Side Scroller2D Platformer
Moons Of Darsalon
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$24k–$65k after Steam's cut $44k–$100k before Steam's cut
$19.67
180 reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure

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