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How many copies did [Chilla's Art] Shinkansen 0 | 新幹線 0号 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 28k–46k
$55k–$147k after Steam's cut $99k–$226k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid [Chilla's Art] Shinkansen 0 | 新幹線 0号 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including [Chilla's Art] Shinkansen 0 | 新幹線 0号's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 797k–1.1M
best case 22.0M (Undertale)
Games like [Chilla's Art] Shinkansen 0 | 新幹線 0号

A typical game among these

≈ 797k–1.1M copies

≈ $3.0M–$10.5M after Steam's cut

from ~28k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Undertale at ≈ 16.8M–27.2M copies, ≈ $46.0M–$123.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 28k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choices Matter (6 of 8) and Story Rich (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Choices Matter, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + PvP + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut
2023
Est. copies
≈ 856k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
35k reviews
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Visual NovelChoices Matter
The Test
2020
Est. copies
≈ 499k–810k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
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Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
Undertale
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16.8M–27.2M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$46.0M–$123.8M after Steam's cut $83.7M–$190.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
343k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Deceit
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.1M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
92k reviews
Mostly Positive
PvPMultiplayer
Vampyr
2018
Est. copies
≈ 772k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.5M–$22.8M after Steam's cut $15.4M–$35.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
25k reviews
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VampireRPG
The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe
2022
Est. copies
≈ 898k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
36k reviews
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Multiple EndingsComedy
Milk outside a bag of milk outside a bag of milk
2021
Est. copies
≈ 556k–903k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$8.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tiny Bunny
2025
Est. copies
≈ 761k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.5M before Steam's cut
$10.99
31k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.