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How many copies did The Talos Principle: Reawakened sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 30k–48k
$326k–$876k after Steam's cut $593k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Talos Principle: Reawakened and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Talos Principle: Reawakened's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 437k–1.2M
best case 2.4M (The Talos Principle)
Games like The Talos Principle: Reawakened

A typical game among these

≈ 437k–1.2M copies

≈ $4.2M–$18.3M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Talos Principle at ≈ 1.9M–3.0M copies, ≈ $15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 493 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (8 of 8) and Puzzle (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Philosophical, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Talos Principle 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 333k–541k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
The Talos Principle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePhilosophical
The Turing Test
2016
Est. copies
≈ 335k–544k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleSci-fi
Inmates
2017
Est. copies
≈ 11k–19k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$31k–$85k after Steam's cut $57k–$130k before Steam's cut
$9.99
333 reviews
Mixed
AdventureIndie
Manifold Garden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 213k–346k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleSurreal
The Witness
2016
Est. copies
≈ 900k–1.5M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.6M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$40.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleExploration
Riven
2024
Est. copies
≈ 72k–116k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$689k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleAdventure
Summerland
2020
Est. copies
≈ 44k–71k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureStory Rich

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