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How many copies did CONFUSION sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 546–887
from 22 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid CONFUSION and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including CONFUSION's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–1.5M
best case 23.0M (No Man's Sky)
Games like CONFUSION

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–1.5M copies

≈ $9.6M–$12.9M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.5M–28.5M copies, ≈ $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (6 of 8) and First-Person (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Survival + Open World Survival Craft + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ABZU
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$17.0M after Steam's cut $11.5M–$26.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingAtmospheric
LEGO® Worlds
2017
Est. copies
≈ 539k–875k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.4M–$11.9M after Steam's cut $8.1M–$18.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
16k reviews
Mostly Positive
LEGOOpen World
Crime Scene Cleaner
2024
Est. copies
≈ 858k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.1M–$19.0M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationCrime
Thief Simulator
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
40k reviews
Very Positive
The Witness
2016
Est. copies
≈ 900k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.6M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$40.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleExploration
The Long Dark
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.3M–6.9M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut $42.6M–$97.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
124k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Gone Home
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
18k reviews
Mostly Positive
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.5M–28.5M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
422k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft

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