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How many copies did OverRider sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
from 78 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid OverRider and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including OverRider's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 119k–217k
best case 2.1M (VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action)
Games like OverRider

A typical game among these

≈ 119k–217k copies

≈ $423k–$3.2M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action at ≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies, ≈ $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Female Protagonist (6 of 8) and Anime (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cyberpunk + Visual Novel, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Horizon Zero Dawn™ Remastered
2024
Est. copies
≈ 197k–319k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.3M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureFemale Protagonist
StarVaders
2025
Est. copies
≈ 109k–178k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$751k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Cavalry Girls
2023
Est. copies
≈ 50k–81k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$164k–$441k after Steam's cut $298k–$678k before Steam's cut
$11.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Top-Down ShooterMechs
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
8.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CyberpunkVisual Novel
Nunholy
2025
Est. copies
≈ 134k–218k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$295k–$793k after Steam's cut $536k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$7.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Female ProtagonistSexual Content
Metal Unit
2021
Est. copies
≈ 72k–117k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$297k–$798k after Steam's cut $540k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ActionIndie
Karakuri-kun: A Japanese Tale
2021
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$81–$219 after Steam's cut $148–$337 before Steam's cut
$1.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
EducationTrivia
Picayune Dreams
2023
Est. copies
≈ 116k–188k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$159k–$427k after Steam's cut $289k–$657k before Steam's cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellPsychedelic

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