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How many copies did Honker sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 620–1k
$510–$1k after Steam's cut $927–$2k before Steam's cut
from 25 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Honker and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Honker's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 180k–322k
best case 1.3M (Unpacking)
Games like Honker

A typical game among these

≈ 180k–322k copies

≈ $425k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Unpacking at ≈ 1.0M–1.7M copies, ≈ $5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 451 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Puzzle (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Story Rich, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics + Story Rich + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 50k–100k
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$24k–$65k after Steam's cut $44k–$100k before Steam's cut
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SimulationMemes
Minami Lane
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≈ 168k–273k
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LEGO® Builder's Journey
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IndieCute
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Est. copies
≈ 219k–356k
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$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
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HorrorSupernatural
Contraband Police: Prologue
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Morphopolis
2014
Est. copies
≈ 272k–441k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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PuzzleIndie
Unpacking
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
6.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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RelaxingCute
Pool 2D - Poolians
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Free to PlayPool

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.