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How many copies did Sky Dominion sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 174–282
$47–$127 after Steam's cut $86–$195 before Steam's cut
from 7 reviews (7 user reviews)
Only 7 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sky Dominion and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sky Dominion's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 452k–7.5M
best case 65.2M (War Thunder)
Games like Sky Dominion

A typical game among these

≈ 452k–7.5M copies

≈ $2.1M–$10.5M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Military (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.7M–80.7M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 46k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Military (4 of 8) and Realistic (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Arma 3
2013
Est. copies
≈ 18.7M–30.4M
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$154.1M–$414.3M after Steam's cut $280.2M–$637.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
296k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryAction
War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 49.7M–80.7M
43x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
786k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation
World War 3
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
55k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayFPS
Hand Simulator: Survival
2019
Est. copies
≈ 284k–461k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$233k–$627k after Steam's cut $424k–$965k before Steam's cut
$2.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalMultiplayer
Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 372k–605k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
FPSSniper
Beyond The Wire
2022
Est. copies
≈ 187k–304k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$514k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $934k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Mixed
FPSWar
VTOL VR
2017
Est. copies
≈ 752k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.7M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FlightVR
Kingdom Heroes 8
2021
Est. copies
≈ 365k–593k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
15k reviews
Mixed
RTSTactical RPG

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.