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How many copies did kallio sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25–40
$7–$18 after Steam's cut $12–$28 before Steam's cut
from 1 review (1 user reviews)
Only 1 review so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid kallio and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including kallio's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–12k
best case 20k (DigDigDrill)
Games like kallio

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–12k copies

≈ $3k–$21k after Steam's cut

from ~109 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Mining (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: DigDigDrill at ≈ 16k–25k copies, ≈ $17k–$46k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 18 reviews in their first month; the range was 7 to 136.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Mining (4 of 8) and Puzzle (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mining + Collectathon, priced around $4.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

100 hidden gnomes
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$0.99
300 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualAdventure
Fossil Hunters
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$10k–$26k after Steam's cut $18k–$40k before Steam's cut
$14.99
77 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureIndie
Dragon Mine
2022
Est. copies
≈ 744–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$612–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$2.99
30 reviews
Positive
Precision PlatformerSide Scroller
Roody:2d
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
$14.99
49 reviews
Positive
Early AccessAutomation
The soldier in the mine
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut
$4.99
140 reviews
Mixed
Side ScrollerPuzzle-Platformer
Ad Fundum
2024
Est. copies
≈ 13k–22k
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$26k–$69k after Steam's cut $47k–$107k before Steam's cut
$6.99
541 reviews
Very Positive
MiningCollectathon
Super Ninja Miner
2023
Est. copies
≈ 620–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$851–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$4.99
25 reviews
Positive
Side Scroller2D Platformer
DigDigDrill
2024
Est. copies
≈ 16k–25k
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$71k before Steam's cut
$3.99
628 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MiningCollectathon

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.