How much revenue did Dragon Mine make?

$612–$2k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Dragon Mine sell?

Q: How many copies did Dragon Mine sell?

744 to 1k copies, based on its 30 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 744–1k; $612–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut; from 30 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dragon Mine and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dragon Mine's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 81k–373k

best case 5.9M (Celeste)

Games like Dragon Mine

A typical game among these

≈ 81k–373k copies

≈ $469k–$801k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 205 to 1k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Platformer (7 of 8) and Precision Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Female Protagonist + Pixel Graphics + Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Celeste 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M 45x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	149k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Precision PlatformerDifficult
Will You Snail? 2022	Est. copies ≈ 70k–114k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $213k–$572k after Steam's cut $387k–$880k before Steam's cut	$10.99	3k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Artificial IntelligencePrecision Platformer
Deepest Sword 2021	Est. copies ≈ 271k–441k 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	11k reviews Very Positive	Pixel Graphics2D Platformer
140 2013	Est. copies ≈ 297k–483k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $408k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $741k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	5k reviews Very Positive	PlatformerIndie
10 Second Ninja X 2016	Est. copies ≈ 138k–225k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $380k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $690k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionIndie
Oik 2 2017	Est. copies ≈ 48k–78k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$54k before Steam's cut	$0.99	1k reviews Very Positive	MinimalistPhysics
Aeterna Noctis 2021	Est. copies ≈ 54k–87k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $443k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $805k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	MetroidvaniaDifficult
Thomas Was Alone 2012	Est. copies ≈ 594k–965k 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	9k reviews Very Positive	PlatformerNarration