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How many copies did SPELLHACK!! sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
from 53 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SPELLHACK!! and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SPELLHACK!!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 583k–2.2M
best case 2.3M (Eternal Return)
Games like SPELLHACK!!

A typical game among these

≈ 583k–2.2M copies

≈ $8.4M–$18.7M after Steam's cut

from ~28k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Eternal Return at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 45k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Real Time Tactics (5 of 8) and Tactical (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Anime + Sexual Content.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$680k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$17.99
6k reviews
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Total War: ATTILA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.3M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
38k reviews
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StrategyHistorical
Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.6M–$47.3M after Steam's cut $32.0M–$72.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StealthStrategy
Stronghold 2: Steam Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 199k–323k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$819k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
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Very Positive
City BuilderReal Time Tactics
Bad North: Jotunn Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 436k–709k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
14k reviews
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WargameVikings
Desperados III
2020
Est. copies
≈ 413k–671k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
17k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Real Time TacticsStrategy
Aliens: Dark Descent
2023
Est. copies
≈ 469k–763k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.2M–$13.9M after Steam's cut $9.4M–$21.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyAction
Eternal Return
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
69k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayAnime

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