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How many copies did Lost Meow sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 397–645
$327–$878 after Steam's cut $594–$1k before Steam's cut
from 16 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lost Meow and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lost Meow's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 138k–439k
best case 972k (Dark Deception)
Games like Lost Meow

A typical game among these

≈ 138k–439k copies

≈ $406k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Runner (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Dark Deception at ≈ 741k–1.2M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 409 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Runner (4 of 8) and Survival (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + First-Person.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ALTF4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 268k–435k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$220k–$592k after Steam's cut $400k–$911k before Steam's cut
$2.99
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
RunnerPhysics
Race The Sun
2013
Est. copies
≈ 402k–653k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Procedural GenerationRunner
Cattails | Become a Cat!
2017
Est. copies
≈ 93k–151k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$382k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $695k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsLife Sim
Bounty game
2022
Est. copies
≈ 80k–129k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalBattle Royale
Jones On Fire
2015
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$26k after Steam's cut $18k–$40k before Steam's cut
$2.99
241 reviews
Mixed
RunnerCats
Dark Deception
2018
Est. copies
≈ 741k–1.2M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
24k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFree to Play
Atomicrops
2020
Est. copies
≈ 158k–256k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$649k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
ActionIndie
Orbt XL
2017
Est. copies
≈ 118k–192k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$32k–$86k after Steam's cut $58k–$133k before Steam's cut
$0.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ArcadeDifficult

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