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How many copies did Project Of Cooling The Earth sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$17k before Steam's cut
from 124 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Project Of Cooling The Earth and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Project Of Cooling The Earth's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 236–402k
best case 5.5M (Frostpunk)
Games like Project Of Cooling The Earth

A typical game among these

≈ 236–402k copies

≈ $412–$7.6M after Steam's cut

from ~56 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Resource Management (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Frostpunk at ≈ 4.2M–6.8M copies, ≈ $34.5M–$92.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 332 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Resource Management (4 of 8) and Interactive Fiction (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with City Builder + Survival, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Frostpunk
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
2460x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$34.5M–$92.8M after Steam's cut $62.8M–$142.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
138k reviews
Very Positive
AI Roguelite
2023
Est. copies
≈ 16k–25k
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$64k–$173k after Steam's cut $117k–$266k before Steam's cut
$14.99
628 reviews
Very Positive
RPGText-Based
The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
848x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
47k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
Harmonium
2018
Est. copies
≈ 182–296
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$250–$672 after Steam's cut $454–$1k before Steam's cut
$4.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
IndieStory Rich
Lotus Reverie: First Nexus
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut
$15.99
60 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCasual
Pathogen
2022
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$83–$221 after Steam's cut $150–$340 before Steam's cut
$5.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
Early AccessStrategy
Dust Courier
2024
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$143–$384 after Steam's cut $260–$590 before Steam's cut
$2.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
Post-apocalypticPixel Graphics
Survivor's guilt
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$3.99
52 reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalResource Management

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