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How many copies did Pathogen sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$83–$221 after Steam's cut $150–$340 before Steam's cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pathogen and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pathogen's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 434k–3.0M
best case 5.5M (Frostpunk)
Games like Pathogen

A typical game among these

≈ 434k–3.0M copies

≈ $2.6M–$48.2M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Frostpunk at ≈ 4.2M–6.8M copies, ≈ $34.5M–$92.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 855 reviews in their first month; the range was 62 to 19k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Resource Management (8 of 8) and Building (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with City Builder + Survival, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Flooded
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–6k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$12k–$33k after Steam's cut $22k–$51k before Steam's cut
$12.99
139 reviews
Very Positive
Age of Empires IV: Anniversary Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.1M–$70.3M after Steam's cut $47.5M–$108.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
96k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Mindustry
2019
Est. copies
≈ 813k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
28k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Base-BuildingResource Management
Age of Empires® III (2007)
2012
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
32k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
El Dorado: The Golden City Builder
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$13k–$36k after Steam's cut $24k–$55k before Steam's cut
$17.99
109 reviews
Mixed
Frostpunk
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$34.5M–$92.8M after Steam's cut $62.8M–$142.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
138k reviews
Very Positive
Prehistoric Kingdom
2022
Est. copies
≈ 170k–276k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
DinosaursManagement
Cartel Tycoon
2022
Est. copies
≈ 95k–154k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$781k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
Top-DownRTS

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.