How much revenue did The PARADOGX Incident make?

$3k–$9k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The PARADOGX Incident sell?

Q: How many copies did The PARADOGX Incident sell?

1k to 2k copies, based on its 43 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1k–2k; $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut; from 43 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The PARADOGX Incident and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The PARADOGX Incident's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 965k–1.2M

best case 5.0M (Totally Accurate Battle Simulator)

Games like The PARADOGX Incident

A typical game among these

≈ 965k–1.2M copies

≈ $4.7M–$7.3M after Steam's cut

from ~29k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Totally Accurate Battle Simulator at ≈ 3.8M–6.2M copies, ≈ $21.0M–$56.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 20k reviews in their first month; the range was 55 to 55k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and FPS (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation, priced around $22. The breakout hits carry Simulation; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
POLYGON 2020	Est. copies ≈ 918k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	37k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayFPS
Crush Crush 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	29k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M 5.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.0M–$56.6M after Steam's cut $38.3M–$87.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	154k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxSimulation
Chinese Parents 2018	Est. copies ≈ 823k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	27k reviews Very Positive	Life SimPsychological Horror
GROUND BRANCH 2026	Est. copies ≈ 621k–1.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	25k reviews Very Positive	TacticalRealistic
Dorfromantik 2022	Est. copies ≈ 735k–1.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut	$13.99	30k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleRelaxing
Lobotomy Corporation \| Monster Management Simulation 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.0M–$32.2M after Steam's cut $21.8M–$49.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	57k reviews Very Positive	ManagementDifficult
NBA 2K20 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	60k reviews Mixed	BasketballSports