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How many copies did Underworld Overseer sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$7k–$20k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut
from 54 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Underworld Overseer and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Underworld Overseer's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13k–246k
best case 1.9M (WorldBox - God Simulator)
Games like Underworld Overseer

A typical game among these

≈ 13k–246k copies

≈ $29k–$2.8M after Steam's cut

from ~965 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: WorldBox - God Simulator at ≈ 1.4M–2.3M copies, ≈ $7.8M–$20.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 221 reviews in their first month; the range was 7 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share God Game (7 of 8) and Real Time Tactics (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sandbox + God Game, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 50k–100k
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God GameVillain Protagonist
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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StrategyGod Game
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Est. copies
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19x vs typical
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StrategyVillain Protagonist
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Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$183–$490 after Steam's cut $332–$754 before Steam's cut
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IdlerClicker
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$920–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
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StrategyGod Game
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2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
59x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$7.8M–$20.9M after Steam's cut $14.1M–$32.1M before Steam's cut
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SandboxGod Game
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SteamSpy under 20k
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$47k–$125k after Steam's cut $85k–$192k before Steam's cut
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525 reviews
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Real Time TacticsTower Defense
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Very Positive
RPGStrategy

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