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How many copies did Vlad the Impaler sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 23k–38k
from 415 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Vlad the Impaler and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Vlad the Impaler's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–212k
best case 1.1M (Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut)
Games like Vlad the Impaler

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–212k copies

≈ $14k–$808k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut at ≈ 856k–1.4M copies, ≈ $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 70 reviews in their first month; the range was 16 to 4k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choose Your Own Adventure (8 of 8) and Horror (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Choices Matter, priced around $18.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut
2023
Est. copies
≈ 856k–1.4M
28x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelChoices Matter
Homicipher
2024
Est. copies
≈ 207k–336k
6.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$796k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$13.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorOtome
Mediterranea Inferno
2023
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$59k–$157k after Steam's cut $107k–$242k before Steam's cut
$14.99
573 reviews
Very Positive
LGBTQ+Choose Your Own Adventure
Fateweaver: The Alchemist's Quandary
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$2.99
100 reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterSimulation
The Test: Hypothesis Rising
2020
Est. copies
≈ 147k–239k
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$80k–$216k after Steam's cut $146k–$332k before Steam's cut
$1.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationMultiple Endings
Fateweaver: Smash or Pass
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$2.99
81 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationChoices Matter
Fledgling Manor
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$14k–$36k after Steam's cut $25k–$56k before Steam's cut
$11.75
169 reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelVampire
Disturbed
2016
Est. copies
≈ 78k–127k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayHorror

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