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How many copies did Lovely Planet sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 152k–247k
$250k–$672k after Steam's cut $455k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lovely Planet and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lovely Planet's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.9M–8.7M
best case 820.1M (Counter-Strike 2)
Games like Lovely Planet

A typical game among these

≈ 3.9M–8.7M copies

≈ $82.1M–$93.6M after Steam's cut

from ~218k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 624.8M–1015.3M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 13k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 42k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (8 of 8) and Shooter (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Competitive + e-sports + Tactical; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ULTRAKILL
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.1M–9.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut $91.2M–$207.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
245k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Boomer ShooterFast-Paced
Splitgate
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
110k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayFPS
Counter-Strike 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 624.8M–1015.3M
45x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9.9M reviews
Very Positive
FPSShooter
DOOM Eternal
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$44.5M–$119.7M after Steam's cut $80.9M–$184.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
218k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction
Titanfall® 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$58.7M–$158.0M after Steam's cut $106.8M–$243.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
287k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSMechs
DOOM
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$50.7M–$136.4M after Steam's cut $92.3M–$209.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
222k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSGore
Roboquest
2023
Est. copies
≈ 608k–989k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction Roguelike
Dirty Bomb®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
57k reviews
Very Positive
Hero ShooterFree to Play

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.