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How many copies did Space Hulk: Deathwing sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 239k–389k
from 6k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Space Hulk: Deathwing and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Space Hulk: Deathwing's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 436k–791k
best case 5.9M (Warhammer: Vermintide 2)
Games like Space Hulk: Deathwing

A typical game among these

≈ 436k–791k copies

≈ $4.8M–$7.8M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Warhammer: Vermintide 2 at ≈ 4.5M–7.3M copies, ≈ $37.0M–$99.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 49k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Warhammer 40K (5 of 8) and Co-op (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hack and Slash, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Hack and Slash + PvE + Dwarf; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Warhammer: Vermintide 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.3M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$37.0M–$99.6M after Steam's cut $67.3M–$153.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
148k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opDark Fantasy
Warhammer 40,000: Boltgun
2023
Est. copies
≈ 454k–738k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
$21.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
Boomer ShooterFPS
Warhammer 40,000: Darktide
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.6M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$38.0M–$102.2M after Steam's cut $69.1M–$157.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
139k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorTeam-Based
Necromunda: Hired Gun
2021
Est. copies
≈ 199k–323k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
8k reviews
Mixed
ActionWarhammer 40K
Disney•Pixar Cars 2: The Video Game
2014
Est. copies
≈ 78k–126k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$427k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $777k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingAction
Warhammer® 40,000: Dawn of War® - Dark Crusade
2007
Est. copies
≈ 603k–980k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyWarhammer 40K
Warhammer: End Times - Vermintide
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.6M–$23.2M after Steam's cut $15.7M–$35.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
21k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionOnline Co-Op
Space Hulk: Deathwing Enhanced Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 333k–540k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionWarhammer 40K

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