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How many copies did Flight Risk sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 422–685
$115–$309 after Steam's cut $209–$475 before Steam's cut
from 17 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Flight Risk and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Flight Risk's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 553k–689k
best case 1.3M (Unheard - Voices of Crime)
Games like Flight Risk

A typical game among these

≈ 553k–689k copies

≈ $3.3M–$4.7M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Unheard - Voices of Crime at ≈ 981k–1.6M copies, ≈ $1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (7 of 8) and Mystery (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Detective + Puzzle, priced around $7.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Escape Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 482k–783k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$11.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
Indiana Jones and the Great Circle
2024
Est. copies
≈ 515k–837k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.6M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$41.0M before Steam's cut
$69.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureFirst-Person
Murders on the Yangtze River
2024
Est. copies
≈ 528k–858k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveAdventure
Unheard - Voices of Crime
2019
Est. copies
≈ 981k–1.6M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before Steam's cut
$6.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectivePuzzle
Cyber Manhunt
2021
Est. copies
≈ 390k–634k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Strange Horticulture
2022
Est. copies
≈ 401k–652k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut
$15.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryPuzzle
Asteroid Five
2022
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$571–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
$5.99
14 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureExploration
The Curse Of Grimsey Island
2024
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $990–$2k before Steam's cut
$19.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
ExplorationDetective

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