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How many copies did The Curse Of Grimsey Island sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 99–161
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $990–$2k before Steam's cut
from 4 reviews (4 user reviews)
Only 4 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Curse Of Grimsey Island and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Curse Of Grimsey Island's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 146k–221k
best case 668k (Her Story)
Games like The Curse Of Grimsey Island

A typical game among these

≈ 146k–221k copies

≈ $1.0M–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Her Story at ≈ 509k–827k copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 644 reviews in their first month; the range was 321 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Detective (8 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Investigation + Typing, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Rise of the Golden Idol
2024
Est. copies
≈ 103k–167k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$567k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryInvestigation
Contradiction: Spot The Liar
2015
Est. copies
≈ 159k–258k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$568k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$12.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveCrime
Her Story
2015
Est. copies
≈ 509k–827k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
InvestigationTyping
Staffer Case: A Supernatural Mystery Adventure
2023
Est. copies
≈ 108k–175k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$504k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $916k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$16.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveStory Rich
Detective Grimoire
2014
Est. copies
≈ 147k–239k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$282k–$759k after Steam's cut $513k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$6.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationPoint & Click
Paradise Killer
2020
Est. copies
≈ 113k–183k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$619k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichInvestigation
Sherlock Holmes Chapter One
2021
Est. copies
≈ 113k–184k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$44.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
DetectiveOpen World
Tangle Tower
2019
Est. copies
≈ 196k–319k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectivePoint & Click

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