How much revenue did Contradiction: Spot The Liar make?

$568k–$1.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Contradiction: Spot The Liar sell?

Q: How many copies did Contradiction: Spot The Liar sell?

159k to 258k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 159k–258k; $568k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Contradiction: Spot The Liar and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Contradiction: Spot The Liar's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 44k–162k

best case 668k (Her Story)

Games like Contradiction: Spot The Liar

A typical game among these

≈ 44k–162k copies

≈ $210k–$681k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Her Story at ≈ 509k–827k copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 699 reviews in their first month; the range was 137 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share FMV (5 of 8) and Choose Your Own Adventure (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Investigation + Typing, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Nikopol: Secrets of the Immortals 2009	Est. copies ≈ 25k–41k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$142k before Steam's cut	$4.99	396 reviews Mixed	Choose Your Own AdventurePoint & Click
Telling Lies 2019	Est. copies ≈ 38k–62k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $210k–$564k after Steam's cut $381k–$868k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Mixed	MysteryFMV
The Operator 2024	Est. copies ≈ 220k–358k 5.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $848k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut	$13.99	9k reviews Very Positive	DetectiveInvestigation
Her Story 2015	Est. copies ≈ 509k–827k 6.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut	$9.99	10k reviews Very Positive	InvestigationTyping
Who Pressed Mute on Uncle Marcus? 2022	Est. copies ≈ 30k–49k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $123k–$332k after Steam's cut $224k–$510k before Steam's cut	$14.99	1k reviews Mixed	FMVAdventure
Misty Judgment 2025	Est. copies ≈ 35k–57k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $86k–$231k after Steam's cut $156k–$356k before Steam's cut	$8.99	1k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessInteractive Fiction
She Sees Red - Interactive Movie 2019	Est. copies ≈ 91k–149k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $201k–$540k after Steam's cut $365k–$831k before Steam's cut	$7.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	Choices MatterFMV
Erica 2021	Est. copies ≈ 44k–71k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $144k–$388k after Steam's cut $263k–$597k before Steam's cut	$11.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureFMV