How much revenue did Misty Judgment make?

$86k–$231k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Misty Judgment sell?

Q: How many copies did Misty Judgment sell?

35k to 57k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 35k–57k; $86k–$231k after Steam's cut $156k–$356k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Misty Judgment and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Misty Judgment's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13k–1.3M

best case 3.8M (Mirror 2: Project X)

Games like Misty Judgment

A typical game among these

≈ 13k–1.3M copies

≈ $169k–$3.4M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror 2: Project X at ≈ 2.9M–4.7M copies, ≈ $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 27k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Visual Novel (5 of 8) and FMV (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Match 3 + Anime, priced around $2.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Love Is All Around 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 6.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	46k reviews Very Positive	Dating SimSexual Content
LoveChoice 2021	Est. copies ≈ 910k–1.5M 5.3x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $498k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $906k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$1.99	37k reviews Very Positive	RomanceDating Sim
Motesolo : No Girlfriend Since Birth 2021	Est. copies ≈ 27k–44k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $173k–$464k after Steam's cut $314k–$714k before Steam's cut	$22.99	1k reviews Very Positive	SimulationFMV
Mirror 2: Project X 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M 17x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before Steam's cut	$1.99	116k reviews Mostly Negative	3DMatch 3
Not For Broadcast 2022	Est. copies ≈ 315k–512k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$9.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Adventure1980s
BornWild • Versus Season 1, Vol.1 2020	Est. copies ≈ 124–202 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	5 reviews 5 user reviews	ActionIndie
Psychiatrist Simulator 2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 818–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$4.99	33 reviews Mixed	SimulationInteractive Fiction
Agarta 2022	Est. copies ≈ 13k–21k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $11k–$29k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before Steam's cut	$2.99	520 reviews Mostly Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureInteractive Fiction