How much revenue did MDNE make?

$1k–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did MDNE sell?

Q: How many copies did MDNE sell?

942 to 2k copies, based on its 38 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 942–2k; $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut; from 38 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid MDNE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including MDNE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 643–2k

best case 8k (Night in Riverager)

Games like MDNE

A typical game among these

≈ 643–2k copies

≈ $2k–$5k after Steam's cut

from ~29 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Night in Riverager at ≈ 6k–10k copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 8 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 71.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Hand-drawn (5 of 8) and 2.5D (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + Point & Click.
When they shipped: Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Shiki 2019	Est. copies ≈ 806–1k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	28 reviews Positive	2D Platformer3D Platformer
Rainy Butcher 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut	$5.99	92 reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureRPG
Night in Riverager 2021	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k 8.1x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	236 reviews Very Positive	HorrorCasual
6 Feet Behind 2021	Est. copies ≈ 744–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	30 reviews Positive	Action2.5D
Faded Stories: Full Moon 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut	$9.99	41 reviews Positive	AdventurePoint & Click
DETUNED 2023	Est. copies ≈ 471–766 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $776–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$5.99	19 reviews Positive	Rogue-like Rhythm
BROKEN MIND 2024	Est. copies ≈ 422–685 SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$9.99	17 reviews Positive	ActionAdventure
Red Silhouette 2024	Est. copies ≈ 496–806 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $954–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$6.99	20 reviews Positive	DarkAction