How much revenue did FREE DUROV make?

$11k–$30k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did FREE DUROV sell?

Q: How many copies did FREE DUROV sell?

10k to 16k copies, based on its 406 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 10k–16k; $11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$46k before Steam's cut; from 406 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid FREE DUROV and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FREE DUROV's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 450k–1.1M

best case 3.7M (Getting Over It with Bennett Foddy)

Games like FREE DUROV

A typical game among these

≈ 450k–1.1M copies

≈ $1.7M–$14.7M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Psychological Horror (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Getting Over It with Bennett Foddy at ≈ 2.8M–4.6M copies, ≈ $6.2M–$16.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Psychological Horror (3 of 8) and Anime (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Physics, priced around $8. The breakout hits carry Difficult + Physics + Philosophical; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Getting Over It with Bennett Foddy 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.6M 4.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.2M–$16.8M after Steam's cut $11.4M–$25.8M before Steam's cut	$7.99	83k reviews Very Positive	Psychological HorrorDifficult
Comedy Night 2017	Est. copies ≈ 320k–519k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $439k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $798k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$4.99	9k reviews Mostly Positive	CasualComedy
Danganronpa V3: Killing Harmony 2017	Est. copies ≈ 806k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	23k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelDetective
Dungeons 3 2017	Est. copies ≈ 644k–1.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	19k reviews Very Positive	StrategyVillain Protagonist
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	39k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeVisual Novel
Chinese Parents 2018	Est. copies ≈ 823k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	27k reviews Very Positive	Life SimPsychological Horror
Unfortunate Spacemen 2020	Est. copies ≈ 187k–305k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	8k reviews Very Positive	Survival HorrorInvestigation
Kindergarten 2017	Est. copies ≈ 367k–596k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $503k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $915k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$4.99	11k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FunnyGore