How much revenue did The Little Moon make?

$217–$584 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Little Moon sell?

Q: How many copies did The Little Moon sell?

198 to 322 copies, based on its 8 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 198–322; $217–$584 after Steam's cut $395–$899 before Steam's cut; from 8 reviews (8 user reviews); Only 8 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Little Moon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Little Moon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–3k

best case 39k (Corsairs Legacy - Pirate Action RPG & Sea Battles)

Games like The Little Moon

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–3k copies

≈ $4k–$11k after Steam's cut

from ~52 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Corsairs Legacy - Pirate Action RPG & Sea Battles at ≈ 30k–49k copies, ≈ $165k–$444k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 53 reviews in their first month; the range was 21 to 483.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Arcade (5 of 8) and Action-Adventure (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Arcade, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Beat 'em up + Side Scroller + Arcade; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Mayhem Brawler 2021	Est. copies ≈ 22k–36k 17x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $123k–$330k after Steam's cut $223k–$508k before Steam's cut	$19.99	900 reviews Very Positive	ActionBeat 'em up
Baby Blues Nightmares - Toddler Horror Game 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $17k–$45k after Steam's cut $30k–$69k before Steam's cut	$12.99	187 reviews Very Positive	HorrorAdventure
Corsairs Legacy - Pirate Action RPG & Sea Battles 2024	Est. copies ≈ 30k–49k 24x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $165k–$444k after Steam's cut $300k–$683k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessArcade
Book of Shadows 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before Steam's cut	$3.99	50 reviews Mixed	AdventureCasual
Playtown 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	108 reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureAction
Cartomancy Anthology 2022	Est. copies ≈ 868–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut	$24.99	35 reviews Positive	SimulationAction-Adventure
Circus of TimTim - Mascot Horror Game 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut	$8.99	53 reviews Mostly Positive	SingleplayerSandbox
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