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How many copies did Undying Flower sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 818–1k
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
from 33 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Undying Flower and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Undying Flower's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–3.8M
best case 3.5M (Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice)
Games like Undying Flower

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–3.8M copies

≈ $7.3M–$24.4M after Steam's cut

from ~48k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice at ≈ 2.6M–4.3M copies, ≈ $21.7M–$58.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 10 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Psychological (8 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological + Story Rich, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mouthwashing
2024
Est. copies
≈ 0
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$0 after Steam's cut $0 before Steam's cut
$12.99
0 reviews
No user reviews
Superliminal
2020
Est. copies
≈ 848k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleFirst-Person
Pink Gum
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$3.99
43 reviews
Positive
ExperimentalHand-drawn
Indecision.
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$67k before Steam's cut
$2.99
645 reviews
Very Positive
ExperienceExperimental
Spec Ops: The Line
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
56k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichThird-Person Shooter
Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.7M–$58.5M after Steam's cut $39.5M–$90.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
77k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericPsychological
The Coffin of Andy and Leyley
2023
Est. copies
≈ 982k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before Steam's cut
$11.99
40k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PsychologicalDark Comedy
Revenge Of The Colon
2023
Est. copies
≈ 10k–17k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$37k–$100k after Steam's cut $68k–$154k before Steam's cut
$12.99
421 reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.