How many copies did Supraball sell?

93k to 151k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Supraball make?

Supraball is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Supraball?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 93k–151k; from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Supraball and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Supraball's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8.1M–13.4M

best case 37.2M (Rocket League®)

Games like Supraball

A typical game among these

≈ 8.1M–13.4M copies

≈ $44.7M–$81.0M after Steam's cut

from ~236k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Racing (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Rocket League® at ≈ 28.3M–46.0M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 21k reviews in their first month; the range was 17k to 144k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Racing (4 of 8) and Simulation (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Football (Soccer) + Competitive.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Fall Guys 2020	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.9M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	468k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerParty Game
Rocket League® 2015	Est. copies ≈ 28.3M–46.0M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	580k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerFootball (Soccer)
Assetto Corsa 2014	Est. copies ≈ 9.8M–15.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	175k reviews Very Positive	RacingAutomobile Sim
Forza Horizon 4 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.2M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	303k reviews Very Positive	RacingOpen World
CarX Drift Racing Online 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.1M–5.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.4M before Steam's cut	$16.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RacingPhysics
EA SPORTS™ FIFA 23 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	150k reviews Mixed	Football (Soccer)Sports
VRChat 2017	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	269k reviews Mostly Positive	VRFree to Play
theHunter: Call of the Wild™ 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.0M–11.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	203k reviews Very Positive	HuntingOpen World