How much revenue did Mystery Boxes make?

$218–$585 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Mystery Boxes sell?

Q: How many copies did Mystery Boxes sell?

99 to 161 copies, based on its 4 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 99–161; $218–$585 after Steam's cut $396–$900 before Steam's cut; from 4 reviews (4 user reviews); Only 4 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mystery Boxes and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mystery Boxes's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18k–107k

best case 627k (A Little to the Left)

Games like Mystery Boxes

A typical game among these

≈ 18k–107k copies

≈ $40k–$695k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: A Little to the Left at ≈ 478k–777k copies, ≈ $2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 209 reviews in their first month; the range was 50 to 579.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Wholesome (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle + Wholesome, priced around $15.
When they shipped: Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Agent A: A puzzle in disguise 2019	Est. copies ≈ 180k–293k 4.8x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $992k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	6k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	LogicPoint & Click
Cats Love Boxes 2024	Est. copies ≈ 11k–19k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $13k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$52k before Steam's cut	$3.99	460 reviews Very Positive	SokobanCats
Sudocats 2022	Est. copies ≈ 46k–74k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $25k–$67k after Steam's cut $46k–$104k before Steam's cut	$1.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CasualCats
A Little to the Left 2022	Est. copies ≈ 478k–777k 15x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	19k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleRelaxing
Railbound 2022	Est. copies ≈ 48k–78k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $172k–$463k after Steam's cut $313k–$712k before Steam's cut	$12.99	2k reviews Very Positive	WholesomeTrains
Quilts and Cats of Calico 2024	Est. copies ≈ 15k–24k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $80k–$216k after Steam's cut $146k–$333k before Steam's cut	$19.99	590 reviews Very Positive	Board GameStrategy
Masterplan Tycoon 2023	Est. copies ≈ 19k–30k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $61k–$164k after Steam's cut $111k–$253k before Steam's cut	$11.99	748 reviews Mostly Positive	Resource ManagementManagement
Feed All Monsters 2023	Est. copies ≈ 12k–20k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$42k before Steam's cut	$2.99	497 reviews Very Positive	PuzzleWholesome