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How many copies did ATC Ground Point sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$9k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut
from 78 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ATC Ground Point and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ATC Ground Point's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 62k–91k
best case 883k (Turmoil)
Games like ATC Ground Point

A typical game among these

≈ 62k–91k copies

≈ $348k–$661k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Turmoil at ≈ 673k–1.1M copies, ≈ $2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 475 reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Time Management (5 of 8) and Management (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Time Management, priced around $19. The breakout hits carry Time Management; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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BuildingManagement
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3.2x vs typical
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≈ 422–685
too small to compare
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Turmoil
2016
Est. copies
≈ 673k–1.1M
7.0x vs typical
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ManagementMining
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≈ 81k–132k
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Grand StrategyMilitary

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.