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How many copies did Dummynation sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 81k–132k
$268k–$721k after Steam's cut $487k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dummynation and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dummynation's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.0M–10.8M
best case 19.8M (Hearts of Iron IV)
Games like Dummynation

A typical game among these

≈ 2.0M–10.8M copies

≈ $16.6M–$209.5M after Steam's cut

from ~62k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hearts of Iron IV at ≈ 15.1M–24.6M copies, ≈ $207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 20k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 35k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Grand Strategy (8 of 8) and Historical (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with World War II + Grand Strategy, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Victoria II
2010
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.2M–$19.5M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$29.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy
Europa Universalis IV
2013
Est. copies
≈ 8.5M–13.8M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$116.6M–$313.5M after Steam's cut $212.0M–$482.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
134k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy
Total War: NAPOLEON – Definitive Edition
2010
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.6M–$25.9M after Steam's cut $17.5M–$39.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Hearts of Iron IV
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.1M–24.6M
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut $377.6M–$859.1M before Steam's cut
$49.99
363k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II
Stellaris
2016
Est. copies
≈ 8.2M–13.3M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$112.6M–$302.6M after Steam's cut $204.7M–$465.6M before Steam's cut
$49.99
197k reviews
Very Positive
ROMANCE OF THE THREE KINGDOMS XIV
2020
Est. copies
≈ 404k–656k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
16k reviews
Mixed
Victoria 3
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
63k reviews
Mixed
Grand StrategyEconomy
Sid Meier's Civilization VII
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$29.7M–$79.9M after Steam's cut $54.1M–$123.0M before Steam's cut
$69.99
62k reviews
Mixed
Grand StrategyHistorical

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