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How many copies did Homebrew - Patent Unknown sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 55k–89k
$225k–$605k after Steam's cut $409k–$930k before Steam's cut
from 974 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Homebrew - Patent Unknown and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Homebrew - Patent Unknown's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 424k–744k
best case 7.3M (鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal)
Games like Homebrew - Patent Unknown

A typical game among these

≈ 424k–744k copies

≈ $2.4M–$6.1M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: 鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 208k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sandbox (5 of 8) and Exploration (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Management + Simulation, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Management + Mythology + Tactical RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ALTF4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 268k–435k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$220k–$592k after Steam's cut $400k–$911k before Steam's cut
$2.99
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
RunnerPhysics
Amazing Frog?
2014
Est. copies
≈ 656k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$14.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
12k reviews
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Early Access4 Player Local
Avorion
2020
Est. copies
≈ 362k–588k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationSandbox
Disney Dreamlight Valley
2023
Est. copies
≈ 617k–1.0M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.8M–$18.3M after Steam's cut $12.3M–$28.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingLife Sim
Mon Bazou
2025
Est. copies
≈ 517k–840k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.4M before Steam's cut
$15.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessAutomobile Sim
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
225k reviews
Mixed
ManagementSingleplayer
Hired Ops
2021
Est. copies
≈ 401k–651k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16k reviews
Mixed
FPSMultiplayer
Reventure
2019
Est. copies
≈ 285k–463k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$966k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$12.34
10k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureIndie

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