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How many copies did SpyParty sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 49k–80k
$338k–$908k after Steam's cut $614k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SpyParty and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SpyParty's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 152k–336k
best case 1.7M (Hacknet)
Games like SpyParty

A typical game among these

≈ 152k–336k copies

≈ $942k–$6.5M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Social Deduction (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Hacknet at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $3.5M–$9.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 967 reviews in their first month; the range was 47 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Social Deduction (3 of 8) and Heist (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hacking + Simulation, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hello Neighbor 2 Alpha 1.5
2020
Est. copies
≈ 155k–253k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePuzzle
Perfect Heist 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 118k–192k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$325k–$874k after Steam's cut $591k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ActionStealth
Hacknet
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.5M–$9.4M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
26k reviews
Very Positive
HackingSimulation
Blameless
2016
Est. copies
≈ 213k–346k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayHorror
Digimon Story Cyber Sleuth: Complete Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 384k–625k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.2M after Steam's cut $9.6M–$21.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Creature CollectorJRPG
Deceive Inc.
2023
Est. copies
≈ 195k–318k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Social DeductionHeist
Throne of Lies®: Medieval Politics
2017
Est. copies
≈ 93k–151k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
Social DeductionMultiplayer
Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 109k–178k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$511k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $928k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$16.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Board GameLocal Multiplayer

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