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How many copies did Bolt Riley, A Reggae Adventure sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
from 53 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bolt Riley, A Reggae Adventure and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bolt Riley, A Reggae Adventure's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 313k–491k
best case 502k (Retrowave)
Games like Bolt Riley, A Reggae Adventure

A typical game among these

≈ 313k–491k copies

≈ $1.5M–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Music (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Retrowave at ≈ 383k–622k copies, ≈ $315k–$846k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 729 reviews in their first month; the range was 21 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Music (3 of 8) and 1980s (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + 1980s, priced around $3.
When they shipped
The similar games span 1997 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

POSTAL Redux
2016
Est. copies
≈ 345k–560k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$852k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$8.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpMultiplayer
Figment
2017
Est. copies
≈ 196k–319k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureIndie
Everhood
2021
Est. copies
≈ 348k–566k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$957k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
14k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackMusic
Retrowave
2022
Est. copies
≈ 383k–622k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$315k–$846k after Steam's cut $572k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$2.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Racing1980s
Melatonin
2022
Est. copies
≈ 203k–330k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$838k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmIndie
POSTAL
1997
Est. copies
≈ 916k–1.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
14k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorVillain Protagonist
Animalistic
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$4.99
65 reviews
Very Positive
FPSArena Shooter
GOST of Time
2024
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$4.99
31 reviews
Positive
Top-Down ShooterTime Manipulation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.