How much revenue did Thief Town make?

$21k–$57k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Thief Town sell?

Q: How many copies did Thief Town sell?

10k to 16k copies, based on its 171 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 10k–16k; $21k–$57k after Steam's cut $38k–$87k before Steam's cut; from 171 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Thief Town and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Thief Town's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 71k–219k

best case 34.9M (Red Dead Redemption 2)

Games like Thief Town

A typical game among these

≈ 71k–219k copies

≈ $272k–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Red Dead Redemption 2 at ≈ 26.6M–43.2M copies, ≈ $438.4M–$1178.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Stealth (7 of 8) and Western (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Story Rich, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Story Rich + Adventure + Realistic; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
West Hunt 2023	Est. copies ≈ 54k–87k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $147k–$396k after Steam's cut $268k–$610k before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Social DeductionParty Game
Doggo Ninjas 2023	Est. copies ≈ 198–322 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $217–$584 after Steam's cut $395–$899 before Steam's cut	$3.99	8 reviews 8 user reviews	MultiplayerFunny
Hidden in Plain Sight 2014	Est. copies ≈ 54k–88k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $90k–$241k after Steam's cut $163k–$370k before Steam's cut	$5.99	971 reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Local Multiplayer4 Player Local
This Land Is My Land 2021	Est. copies ≈ 116k–188k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $953k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	5k reviews Mixed	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Desperados III 2020	Est. copies ≈ 413k–671k 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	17k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Real Time TacticsStrategy
Tumblefire 2022	Est. copies ≈ 446–725 too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$9.99	18 reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessHeist
Red Dead Redemption 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 26.6M–43.2M 198x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $438.4M–$1178.6M after Steam's cut $797.0M–$1813.3M before Steam's cut	$59.99	923k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldStory Rich
Blood West 2023	Est. copies ≈ 167k–272k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	7k reviews Very Positive	FPSOpen World