How much revenue did Tumblefire make?

$1k–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Tumblefire sell?

Q: How many copies did Tumblefire sell?

446 to 725 copies, based on its 18 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 446–725; $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut; from 18 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Tumblefire out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tumblefire's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–6.1M

best case 55.9M (PAYDAY 2)

Games like Tumblefire

The middle of these games

≈ 2.1M–6.1M copies

≈ $24.7M–$53.4M after Steam's cut

from ~66k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: PAYDAY 2 at ≈ 42.6M–69.3M copies, ≈ $117.1M–$314.8M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 24 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 13 to 39k.

Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Stealth (7 of 8) and Heist (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Co-op + FPS, priced around $10.
The era: The games you compared span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
PAYDAY 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 42.6M–69.3M 10x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $117.1M–$314.8M after Steam's cut $212.9M–$484.4M before the cut	$9.99	674k reviews Very Positive	Co-opAction
Dishonored 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $22.9M–$61.6M after Steam's cut $41.7M–$94.8M before the cut	$29.99	67k reviews Very Positive	StealthFirst-Person
PAYDAY 3 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.4M–$36.1M after Steam's cut $24.4M–$55.5M before the cut	$29.99	66k reviews Mixed	HeistCo-op
Thief Simulator 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.5M before the cut	$19.99	40k reviews Very Positive	Simulation Stealth
HITMAN™ 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	37k reviews Very Positive	StealthAction
METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN 2015	Est. copies ≈ 5.3M–8.6M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $28.9M–$77.8M after Steam's cut $52.6M–$119.7M before the cut	$19.99	108k reviews Very Positive	StealthOpen World
Ballad of The Masked Bandits 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	68 reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayIndie
Chess Knights: High Noon 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k too small to compare SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $978–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut	$2.99	48 reviews Mixed	WesternTurn-Based Tactics