How much revenue did Flash Doll make?

$61k–$165k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Flash Doll sell?

Q: How many copies did Flash Doll sell?

25k to 40k copies, based on its 999 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 25k–40k; $61k–$165k after Steam's cut $111k–$253k before Steam's cut; from 999 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Flash Doll and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Flash Doll's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 478k–1.2M

best case 2.9M (OMORI)

Games like Flash Doll

A typical game among these

≈ 478k–1.2M copies

≈ $7.1M–$13.6M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Story Rich (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: OMORI at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 55 to 11k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (3 of 8) and Music (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Story Rich, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
OMORI 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M 4.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Story Rich
Night in the Woods 2017	Est. copies ≈ 699k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	20k reviews Very Positive	Story RichAdventure
Virtual Cottage 2020	Est. copies ≈ 275k–448k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	11k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CozyRelaxing
POLYGON 2020	Est. copies ≈ 918k–1.5M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	37k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayFPS
Bomb Rush Cyberfunk 2023	Est. copies ≈ 390k–634k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $4.3M–$11.5M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action3D Platformer
Hi-Fi RUSH 2023	Est. copies ≈ 893k–1.5M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.4M–$19.8M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	36k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RhythmAction
Okami HD 2017	Est. copies ≈ 370k–601k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.5M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	11k reviews Very Positive	AdventureMythology
Spellbreak 2020	Est. copies ≈ 347k–564k SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	14k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayMultiplayer