How much revenue did Lycoris make?

$1k–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Lycoris sell?

Q: How many copies did Lycoris sell?

397 to 645 copies, based on its 16 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 397–645; $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut; from 16 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lycoris and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lycoris's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.2M–5.6M

best case 9.9M (NARAKA: BLADEPOINT)

Games like Lycoris

A typical game among these

≈ 3.2M–5.6M copies

≈ $16.5M–$66.7M after Steam's cut

from ~95k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: NARAKA: BLADEPOINT at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 26k reviews in their first month; the range was 9k to 45k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Character Customization (5 of 8) and Anime (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Battle Royale + Martial Arts.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Black Desert 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	94k reviews Mostly Positive	MMORPGMassively Multiplayer
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.5M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	206k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tactical RPGRPG
DRAGON BALL Z: KAKAROT 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.0M–$21.4M after Steam's cut $14.5M–$32.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	58k reviews Very Positive	ActionRPG
Totally Accurate Battlegrounds 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	88k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerPhysics
TEKKEN 7 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.3M–5.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $36.2M–$97.2M after Steam's cut $65.7M–$149.5M before Steam's cut	$39.99	96k reviews Very Positive	FightingAction
MONSTER HUNTER RISE 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	127k reviews Very Positive	ActionHunting
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.2M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	303k reviews Mostly Positive	Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Eternal Return 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	69k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayAnime