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How many copies did Morrigan's Isle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 124–202
$238–$642 after Steam's cut $433–$988 before Steam's cut
from 5 reviews (5 user reviews)
Only 5 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Morrigan's Isle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Morrigan's Isle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.2M–5.3M
best case 57.5M (The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered)
Games like Morrigan's Isle

A typical game among these

≈ 3.2M–5.3M copies

≈ $37.9M–$54.4M after Steam's cut

from ~97k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered at ≈ 43.8M–71.2M copies, ≈ $602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 35k reviews in their first month; the range was 17k to 208k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (7 of 8) and Fantasy (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Post-apocalyptic, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fallout: New Vegas
2010
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Noita
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PhysicsRogue-like
Enshrouded
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.0M–$77.9M after Steam's cut $52.7M–$119.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
106k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSurvival
Fallout 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 21.0M–34.1M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
429k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43.8M–71.2M
9.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut $1095.5M–$2492.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
898k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
225k reviews
Mixed
ManagementSingleplayer
Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$124.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
97k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim
2011
Est. copies
≈ 20.1M–32.6M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.9M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
318k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.