How much revenue did Trouble in Warsaw make?

$387–$1k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Trouble in Warsaw sell?

Q: How many copies did Trouble in Warsaw sell?

471 to 766 copies, based on its 19 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 471–766; $387–$1k after Steam's cut $704–$2k before Steam's cut; from 19 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Trouble in Warsaw and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Trouble in Warsaw's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–1.8M

best case 4.2M (Helltaker)

Games like Trouble in Warsaw

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–1.8M copies

≈ $7.7M–$16.4M after Steam's cut

from ~36k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Helltaker at ≈ 3.2M–5.2M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 13k reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 21k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Anime (6 of 8) and Mystery (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Demons + Puzzle. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Cute + Demons; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Helltaker 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.2M 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	128k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayCute
Sally Face - Episode One 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut	$2.99	30k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story Rich Psychological Horror
Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.2M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.5M–$20.3M after Steam's cut $13.7M–$31.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	33k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeDetective
Firework 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	44k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorIndie
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	45k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectiveVisual Novel
Play minigames with Reiko 2023	Est. copies ≈ 25–40 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $41–$109 after Steam's cut $75–$168 before Steam's cut	$5.99	1 reviews 1 user reviews	Early AccessAnime
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	39k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeVisual Novel
Danganronpa V3: Killing Harmony 2017	Est. copies ≈ 806k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	23k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelDetective