How much revenue did VEGA Conflict make?

VEGA Conflict is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did VEGA Conflict sell?

Q: How many copies did VEGA Conflict sell?

246k to 399k copies, based on its 5k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 246k–399k; from 5k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid VEGA Conflict and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including VEGA Conflict's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 438k–591k

best case 29.9M (Among Us)

Games like VEGA Conflict

A typical game among these

≈ 438k–591k copies

≈ $4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Among Us at ≈ 22.8M–37.0M copies, ≈ $31.3M–$84.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and Management (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Survival + Social Deduction + Online Co-Op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Among Us 2018	Est. copies ≈ 22.8M–37.0M 71x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $31.3M–$84.0M after Steam's cut $56.8M–$129.3M before Steam's cut	$4.99	749k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerSocial Deduction
Learn to Fly 3 2017	Est. copies ≈ 390k–633k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	11k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayCasual
Spaceflight Simulator 2022	Est. copies ≈ 243k–395k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	10k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxSpace Sim
RimWorld 2018	Est. copies ≈ 7.6M–12.3M 24x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut	$34.99	249k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building
Empires of the Undergrowth 2024	Est. copies ≈ 470k–764k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	19k reviews Very Positive	StrategySimulation
Relic Hunters Zero: Remix 2015	Est. copies ≈ 330k–536k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	7k reviews Very Positive	Looter ShooterTwin Stick Shooter
Endless Sky 2015	Est. copies ≈ 347k–564k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	7k reviews Very Positive	SpaceFree to Play
Awesomenauts 2012	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $9.3M–$25.1M after Steam's cut $17.0M–$38.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	27k reviews Very Positive	MOBAMultiplayer